In the years since the 2000 election there have been independent studies of the ballots showing who would've won in various different recount scenarios!
Amusingly, the vote recount standard advocated by Gore gives Bush his biggest lead (d'oh). While the counter-proposal by the Bush team in the lead up to SCOUTS lawsuit would've given Gore the lead (double d'oh).
Advisory Opinions just had a podcast on this with Leon Neyfakh (of the
Re: your intro:
https://xkcd.com/1122/
I’ve watched him defend his keys - it seems that his keys were correct after all, it was the voters who were wrong.
Re: Florida ballot skullduggery.
In the years since the 2000 election there have been independent studies of the ballots showing who would've won in various different recount scenarios!
https://www.cnn.com/2015/10/31/politics/bush-gore-2000-election-results-studies/index.html
Amusingly, the vote recount standard advocated by Gore gives Bush his biggest lead (d'oh). While the counter-proposal by the Bush team in the lead up to SCOUTS lawsuit would've given Gore the lead (double d'oh).
Advisory Opinions just had a podcast on this with Leon Neyfakh (of the
Fiasco podcast on Bush v. Gore).
If you are looking for a more in depth analysis of the issues with Lichtman's model, some AU alumni I know wrote about him in their blog.
https://thepostrider.com/allan-lichtman-is-famous-for-correctly-predicting-the-2016-election-the-problem-he-didnt/
They even got a strongly worded response from him, as well as some small coverage in the press.
https://thepostrider.com/letter-allan-lichtmans-response/
https://www.newsweek.com/allan-lichtman-keys-model-criticism-explained-1937114
What a comprehensive takedown! I've rarely read a rebuttal on anything that thorough. Thanks for sharing.
Nailed it.