6 Comments
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Flume, Nom de's avatar

Re: your intro:

https://xkcd.com/1122/

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Kim's avatar

I’ve watched him defend his keys - it seems that his keys were correct after all, it was the voters who were wrong.

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Flume, Nom de's avatar

Re: Florida ballot skullduggery.

In the years since the 2000 election there have been independent studies of the ballots showing who would've won in various different recount scenarios!

https://www.cnn.com/2015/10/31/politics/bush-gore-2000-election-results-studies/index.html

Amusingly, the vote recount standard advocated by Gore gives Bush his biggest lead (d'oh). While the counter-proposal by the Bush team in the lead up to SCOUTS lawsuit would've given Gore the lead (double d'oh).

Advisory Opinions just had a podcast on this with Leon Neyfakh (of the

Fiasco podcast on Bush v. Gore).

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Joe Slamm's avatar

If you are looking for a more in depth analysis of the issues with Lichtman's model, some AU alumni I know wrote about him in their blog.

https://thepostrider.com/allan-lichtman-is-famous-for-correctly-predicting-the-2016-election-the-problem-he-didnt/

They even got a strongly worded response from him, as well as some small coverage in the press.

https://thepostrider.com/letter-allan-lichtmans-response/

https://www.newsweek.com/allan-lichtman-keys-model-criticism-explained-1937114

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J.J. McCullough's avatar

What a comprehensive takedown! I've rarely read a rebuttal on anything that thorough. Thanks for sharing.

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Travis Harger's avatar

Nailed it.

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