Very well said. I can never quite discern what the New Right’s economic policies are. They seem to think that economic reform is less important than their own priorities, and we all ought to want what they want. I suspect many of them are doing quite well on the status quo.
All I'll say is that Pierre is a completely spent force politically with zero chance of beating Carney and his continued popularity with an increasingly unmoored conservative base is not remotely indicative of his electability. Like it or not, outside of a noisy bubble of online conservative activists pandering to American conservatives and bot networks, Pierre's brand of libertarian-tinged conspiratorial slopulism is perceived as far weirder and more out of touch than anything you would call Kenney or Ford out of touch for.
He lost because Trudeau was way up in the polls before the election and yet he managed to break even nonetheless. Not a phenomenal result, granted, but he would most likely be prime minister now if Pierre and his reformicon factionalists hadn't knifed him in the back. Carney has stated he ran specifically to stop Pierre and he succeeded and even won the popular vote for the first time in a decade because NDP and Bloc voters couldn't stand Pierre enough that they strategically voted themselves out of existence.
I don't think Kenny has a chance, but Pierre has totally failed to make any headway in the current political climate. His record vote totals are meaningless as long as NDP voters support the Liberals instead.
To me this reminds me a lot of what is happening to Nigel Farage's Reform UK party here in the UK. Farage has captivated a loyal following among 20% of the population or so, but recent by elections show a worrying trend. Labour, LibDem, Green and even Tory voters are all voting for whoever is best placed to defeat Reform. In a first-past-the-post system like Canada's this is a recipe for overwhelming defeat.
My impression is that Polievre is not as divisive as Farage, but I think he's shored up a solid base among Tory partisans that's encouraged NDP voters to lend their votes to Carney. The Tories can't win until they have a candidate that scare NDP voters so much.
Like obviously you’re going to hate Kenney that’s not surprising given you views on America and faux Canadian nationalism. But i the statement: “if an election were held today, odds are high the Conservatives would win a share of the popular vote comparable to last year’s election,” the “odds are high” and “comparable” are doing a lot of work. In 2025 the CPC got 41.3% of the popular vote. The polls are much worse than that now. You can say that they at the same level as O’Toole and close enough to Scheer but they are still pretty bad. I get that you hate Kenny yes he does suck im convinced but you’re really setting the bar low for PP. I think you should instead encourage someone you’d like better to jump in, like Danielle Smith
Good thoughts JJ. Kenney has always reminded me of Chester from Bugs Bunny always trying to stir Spike into doing something his better nature would not want to do. He no longer has better plans to offer & why be anti-American? Orange man bad absolutely but he isn’t all of USA
Very well said. I can never quite discern what the New Right’s economic policies are. They seem to think that economic reform is less important than their own priorities, and we all ought to want what they want. I suspect many of them are doing quite well on the status quo.
All I'll say is that Pierre is a completely spent force politically with zero chance of beating Carney and his continued popularity with an increasingly unmoored conservative base is not remotely indicative of his electability. Like it or not, outside of a noisy bubble of online conservative activists pandering to American conservatives and bot networks, Pierre's brand of libertarian-tinged conspiratorial slopulism is perceived as far weirder and more out of touch than anything you would call Kenney or Ford out of touch for.
So why did Erin O’Toole lose?
Nominative determinism
He lost because Trudeau was way up in the polls before the election and yet he managed to break even nonetheless. Not a phenomenal result, granted, but he would most likely be prime minister now if Pierre and his reformicon factionalists hadn't knifed him in the back. Carney has stated he ran specifically to stop Pierre and he succeeded and even won the popular vote for the first time in a decade because NDP and Bloc voters couldn't stand Pierre enough that they strategically voted themselves out of existence.
I don't think Kenny has a chance, but Pierre has totally failed to make any headway in the current political climate. His record vote totals are meaningless as long as NDP voters support the Liberals instead.
To me this reminds me a lot of what is happening to Nigel Farage's Reform UK party here in the UK. Farage has captivated a loyal following among 20% of the population or so, but recent by elections show a worrying trend. Labour, LibDem, Green and even Tory voters are all voting for whoever is best placed to defeat Reform. In a first-past-the-post system like Canada's this is a recipe for overwhelming defeat.
My impression is that Polievre is not as divisive as Farage, but I think he's shored up a solid base among Tory partisans that's encouraged NDP voters to lend their votes to Carney. The Tories can't win until they have a candidate that scare NDP voters so much.
Like obviously you’re going to hate Kenney that’s not surprising given you views on America and faux Canadian nationalism. But i the statement: “if an election were held today, odds are high the Conservatives would win a share of the popular vote comparable to last year’s election,” the “odds are high” and “comparable” are doing a lot of work. In 2025 the CPC got 41.3% of the popular vote. The polls are much worse than that now. You can say that they at the same level as O’Toole and close enough to Scheer but they are still pretty bad. I get that you hate Kenny yes he does suck im convinced but you’re really setting the bar low for PP. I think you should instead encourage someone you’d like better to jump in, like Danielle Smith
I don’t think Pierre would do much worse than he did last time. The question is how much better would carney do.
Good thoughts JJ. Kenney has always reminded me of Chester from Bugs Bunny always trying to stir Spike into doing something his better nature would not want to do. He no longer has better plans to offer & why be anti-American? Orange man bad absolutely but he isn’t all of USA